Progressive (Germany) Performance

PGV Stock  EUR 176.56  4.44  2.58%   
The company holds a Beta of -0.0273, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Progressive are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Progressive is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Progressive has a negative expected return of -0.0389%. Please make sure to check Progressive's jensen alpha, value at risk, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and skewness , to decide if Progressive performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days The Progressive has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Progressive is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0693
Payout Ratio
0.7228
Forward Dividend Rate
11.91
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-02
1
Progressive stock rating reiterated at Underweight by Morgan Stanley - Investing.com
12/17/2025
2
How The Progressive Corporation stock benefits from tech adoption - 2025 Dividend Review Fast Gain Stock Trading Tips - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
3
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc. Sells 74,740 Shares of The Progressive Corporation PGR - MarketBeat
01/12/2026
4
Wright Investors Service Inc. Has 7.08 Million Stock Position in The Progressive Corporation PGR - MarketBeat
01/16/2026
5
QRG Capital Management Inc. Sells 78,529 Shares of The Progressive Corporation PGR - InsuranceNewsNet
01/19/2026
6
Down 16 percent In Last 12 Months, Can Progressive Stock Insure Recovery Through 2027 - TIKR.com
01/22/2026
7
The Progressive Corporation PGR Shares Sold by New York State Common Retirement Fund - MarketBeat
01/29/2026
8
The Progressive Corporation In a Phase of Robust Growth Amid Advertising Efficiency - Insider Monkey
02/12/2026
9
Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB publ Sells 9,916 Shares of The Progressive Corporation PGR - MarketBeat
02/17/2026
  

Progressive Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  18,165  in The Progressive on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (509.00) from holding The Progressive or give up 2.8% of portfolio value over 90 days. The Progressive is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.3135% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded stocks are less volatile than Progressive, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Progressive is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 per unit of volatility.

Progressive Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Progressive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 176.56 90 days 176.56 
about 67.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Progressive to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.05 (This The Progressive probability density function shows the probability of Progressive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Progressive has a beta of -0.0273 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Progressive are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Progressive is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Progressive has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Progressive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Progressive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Progressive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
170.93172.21173.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
145.93147.21189.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.311.21
Details

Progressive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Progressive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Progressive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Progressive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Progressive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
4.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Progressive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Progressive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Progressive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Progressive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Progressive is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The Progressive has accumulated 80.15 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 32.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Progressive has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Progressive until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Progressive's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Progressive sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Progressive to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Progressive's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 88.0% of Progressive shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB publ Sells 9,916 Shares of The Progressive Corporation PGR - MarketBeat

Progressive Fundamentals Growth

Progressive Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Progressive, and Progressive fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Progressive Stock performance.

About Progressive Performance

By analyzing Progressive's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Progressive's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Progressive has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Progressive has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The Progressive Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services primarily in the United States. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio. PROGRESSIVE CORP operates under Insurance - Property Casualty classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 37346 people.

Things to note about Progressive performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Progressive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Progressive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Progressive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Progressive is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The Progressive has accumulated 80.15 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 32.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Progressive has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Progressive until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Progressive's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Progressive sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Progressive to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Progressive's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 88.0% of Progressive shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB publ Sells 9,916 Shares of The Progressive Corporation PGR - MarketBeat
Evaluating Progressive's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Progressive's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Progressive's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Progressive's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Progressive's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Progressive's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Progressive's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Progressive's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Progressive's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Progressive's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Progressive's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Progressive Stock analysis

When running Progressive's price analysis, check to measure Progressive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progressive is operating at the current time. Most of Progressive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progressive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progressive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progressive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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